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The nuance that's usually missing is that new technology invariably enables the same things but more of them and faster.
by throwway120385 2y ago
The nuance that's usually missing is that new technology invariably enables the same things but more of them and faster.
- consteval 2y agoEveryone misses this all the time. Most problems can be overlooked because they’re not that prolific. There’s a chain of events that really hinges on that assumption. For example, piracy is really not a problem. In fact I’m pro-piracy most of the time. But if everyone could pirate with no thought and no down time, I don’t think our economy will survive. Just because something is okay in small doses doesn’t mean it scales well. We understand this intuitively with substances, but not with technology like LLMs.
- EGreg 2y agoDo you think the people who keep commenting "X was always a problem" are really unaware of this? Or they are just trying to dampen any alarm on purpose?
- consteval 2y agoI think they’re genuinely unaware of this because many, maybe most, people who analyze risk casually don’t think about ease or probability. Because it’s easier that way, and typically allows them to maintain some beliefs about personal freedoms.
- pixl97 2y agoA snowflake isn't an avalanche, but if you let them build up, there is potential.