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I guess I was trying to get the parent comment to reconsider their position on 50/50 being useful because they would never leave the house. But I guess it's sti
by neogodless 2y ago
I guess I was trying to get the parent comment to reconsider their position on 50/50 being useful because they would never leave the house. But I guess it's still "more" useful than 90/10 even, in their example, the chance during one day isn't reflective of long term odds.
But an election (particularly presidential) is only once every 4 years. And it's not "50/50" or "90/10" every election - it's typically a different match up of options, and a slightly different mix of percentages.
But fair criticism, I didn't successfully make a good point with my attempt.