The President is not elected by popular vote, and I should hope that the polling probabilities take that into account. 312 to 226 (58%/42%) was the final elect

The President is not elected by popular vote, and I should hope that the polling probabilities take that into account. 312 to 226 (58%/42%) was the final electoral college count. Do you know what the Polymarket odds for the race were at 11:30pm on November 4th, the day before election day? 59.8% Trump, 40.2% Harris. Yes, actually, seriously, go look them up, they didn't just correctly predict the winner, the odds themselves were within an incredibly accurate margin for the actual electoral vote share. The Robinhood election market odds were similarly placed. The Harris campaign said recently that they basically knew they were going to lose very early on. This information was out there, everyone knew it, except the "professional pollsters" who are now begging/pleading that their 50-50 models aren't worth giving up on. You don't need to white knight the pollsters. They're selling a defective product. The marketplace for their product will punish them in 2026 and 2028 far more than any of our comments on HackerNews will.