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> Oh course lesswrong, being heavily AI doomers, may be slightly biased against near term AGI just from motivated reasoning. LessWrong was predicting AI doom w
by achierius 2y ago
> Oh course lesswrong, being heavily AI doomers, may be slightly biased against near term AGI just from motivated reasoning.
LessWrong was predicting AI doom within decades back when people thought it wouldn't happen in our lifetimes; even as recently as 2018~2020, people there were talking about 2030-2040 while the rest of the world laughed at the very idea. I struggle to accept an argument that they're somehow under-estimating the likelihood of doom given all the historical evidence to the contrary.