4 ms·
More ability to kill everyone. That's harder to do with nukes. That said, the actual forecast odds on metaculus are pretty similar for nuclear and AI catastrop
by usaar333 2y ago
More ability to kill everyone. That's harder to do with nukes.
That said, the actual forecast odds on metaculus are pretty similar for nuclear and AI catastrophies: https://possibleworldstree.com/ https://possibleworldstree.com/
- kragen 2y agoPrediction markets should not be expected to provide useful results for existential risks, because there is no incentive for human players to bet on human extinction; if they happen to be right, they won't be able to collect their winnings, because they'll personally be too dead.