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For a long time, 2025 has been viewed as the critical year when China would be capable of taking on the US over Taiwan. (I've always viewed it as an aircraft-c

For a long time, 2025 has been viewed as the critical year when China would be capable of taking on the US over Taiwan. (I've always viewed it as an aircraft-carrier count match-up).

ggm 2y ago
They've got 3. So, not even breaking single digits vs 11. I don't think they can build 7 in the year. Canada has another 3, the UK 2, India has one. They might be non aligned but i bet they'd take a defensive posture to deny force. However the real problem with invading Taiwan is opposed landing. Costly in manpower and loss of capital ships from standoff weapons. If the fleet is defending the aircraft carriers it can't be doing suppression of radar and opposition jets, which are operating from the advantage of onshore vs offshore launch and recovery. In their favour is sailing times from fleet deployments elsewhere. That's why SIGINT matters.
- hollerith 2y ago
  >Canada has another 3 Canada has no carriers.
  - ggm 2y ago
    You're right. I thought that they had, they're all decommissioned for decades, and they didn't buy the helicopter carriers yet either.