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I started making videos about Starship because the project management approach to Starship is a crock of cheese. Agile project management methods work well for
by Zigurd 2y ago
I started making videos about Starship because the project management approach to Starship is a crock of cheese.
Agile project management methods work well for software. When I teach how to use those methods I warn people that they are so attractive and so simple that it's tempting to use them everywhere. Agile can, and too often does, become a management fad. Which is a disaster.
So no surprise, when I heard all of the iterative development bullshit about Starship I thought this is a crock of cheese. I should talk about this being a huge blunder and warn all those people out there in the tech industry that knowledge of software development project management isn't going to translate to rockets, Or much else, besides software.
And so, it's no surprise that on the 9th test flight, it blew up again at roughly the same time and place as the 8th test flight. The iterative changes made between these two test flights didn't improve the outcome. This is a project where progress has stalled. If a software project was performing like this, it would be time to consider terminating the current project, and either starting over or abandoning the project goals on the basis that the technology and implementation choices that were made during the project aren't working.
Unlike most software projects, where you can "throw one away" and not take too bad a hit financially or schedule wise, Starship suffers both from sunk cost fallacies and a narcissistic project leader.
The current problems that have stalled Starship's progress are very likely not the most difficult problems that they will have to solve. They don't know in detail what those problems are going to be. Because of iterative development of a rocket. They can't see far ahead in their project. And that is going to lead to the failure of this project.
- TMWNN 2y ago>I started making videos about Starship because the project management approach to Starship is a crock of cheese. The same project management approach resulted in Falcon 9, by far the world's most successful, reliable, and least-expensive launcher, even aside from the fact that it is reusable.
- Zigurd 2y agoWindows95 was pretty cool, too.
- 7e 2y agoSeveral very talented rocket designers have since left SpaceX. They might have succeeded regardless (or despite) of the development methodology. It doesn’t mean the methodology was a good one. And even if it was, the level of Elon meddling in this project has gone up an order of magnitude. That’s a lot of stupid to have to work around.