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Polling errors are highly correlated so it's not surprising if all states that are within a point or two break the same way. Nate's model had Trump sweeping the
by rurp 2y ago
Polling errors are highly correlated so it's not surprising if all states that are within a point or two break the same way. Nate's model had Trump sweeping the swing states as the single most likely outcome, with Harris sweeping all seven as the second most likely.
- lotsofpulp 2y agoSure, but when I hear 50/50, I expect the result will be nearly tied. Like a sports game. 312 electoral college votes versus 226 electoral college votes does not seem like it was a 50/50 game. Of course, this isn't a linear game where scores are alternating, so my line of thought isn't completely fair.