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Each race is only sampled once. But he runs the same methodology on hundreds of races. If the candidates he gives an X% chance to win go on to win approximately
by NeutralCrane 2y ago
Each race is only sampled once. But he runs the same methodology on hundreds of races. If the candidates he gives an X% chance to win go on to win approximately X% of the time, the methodology is reliable.
- magicalist 2y agoNot if the methodology is different per race, which it is. No other office is elected like the president is.