4 ms·

So where's that promised exponential improvement? Oh right, it doesn't exist. The only thing that exponentially increases are the costs and no real, sustainabl

by lompad 2y ago

So where's that promised exponential improvement? Oh right, it doesn't exist. The only thing that exponentially increases are the costs and no real, sustainable business model is in sight. AI companies have no moat and are ironically consistently threatened to be made redundant. Businesses keep running around with the solution that is genAI but can barely find any problems to use it on. We won't be getting what sama promised, that much is clear, I'd say. Thankfully. I do think it's time to prepare for the post-AI-bubble age. Big changes are coming, after all, hundreds of billions have been wasted for what's essentially a toy.

_mitterpach 2y ago
Honestly, imagine being in a regular software field and improving your product 2x. It is now two times better than it was previously. That's amazing! You could probably beat out all the competition, steal all the customers, quadruple your profits. OpenAI and every other peddler keeps promising upgrades in the magnitude of 100-200x. That's impossible. To be affordable and usable enough, they would have to come up with actual miracles. At this point, they've picked off all the low hanging fruit. At best, we're going to be seeing marginal improvements at the cost of a large price increase (see latest OpenAI flagship). There is some usefulness, but after so many dollars wasted, all companies are going to be left with is a bunch of useless GPUs. I can't wait.