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You mention the world being (at least subjectively) stochastic. This brings to mind the idea that a model of probability rather than just logic, might be more b

by drdeca 2y ago

You mention the world being (at least subjectively) stochastic. This brings to mind the idea that a model of probability rather than just logic, might be more beneficial? The example you gave of focusing excessively on some topic in order to make it seem like a bigger deal… hm, is there a way we could formalize such things in a way like how formal fallacies are formalized? It seems more difficult than classifying common formal fallacies. But, might it be possible?

janalsncm 2y ago
The problem is that “news” is not a random sampling of all events. It is biased by the very fact that someone has to decide the event is notable. And even if you were to witness a random sampling of all events via some kind of clockwork orange mechanism, your brain has saliency biases as well. You might find the wiki page on cognitive bias interesting https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_bias https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_bias