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I think many people believe this is an absolute bubble I wonder why. I've never came across a product that changed the way I work and get information for the b

I think many people believe this is an absolute bubble I wonder why. I've never came across a product that changed the way I work and get information for the better as fast as LLMs.

xnx 2y ago
LLMs are amazing and probably as important a technology as electricity, the internal combustion engine, radio, or smartphones, but $61.5 billion can still be waaaay overvalued for Anthropic.
- aurareturn 2y ago
  At some point in the next year or two, if you were to make me give up the browser (and all websites) or an LLM, I might choose the browser.
  - soupfordummies 2y ago
    Really? What does it do for you? Maybe I'm limited by imagination or the free plan but it seems like I get faulty info or hallucinations more than I get game-changing productivity boosts.
    - TeMPOraL 2y ago
      > or the free plan There's your answer. Yes, on a free plan, you don't get to experience the state of the art that excites people so much. Models are weaker and more prone to hallucinate, and limits are stricter - both of which makes the services much less useful for causal use. Pay $20 and play with ChatGPT for a month (or go the API route and find good software that lets you supply your own API key), see what you get. Yes, technically ChatGPT has this $200 tier, but I don't think it makes a qualitative difference for causal use, given that (apparently, as I discovered two days ago), even the "Deep Research" thing is now available on the $20 tier - in limited amount (I have 10 queries per month), but enough to give it a solid test drive.
singularity2001 2y ago
> many people believe this is an absolute bubble The authors of "The internet is just a fad"?
- TeMPOraL 2y ago
  FWIW, dotcom bubble was real. I also find myself frequently thinking about the "railroad era" in the US - from what I read, that too was a bubble, and companies that built up rail lines across the continent all went bust, leaving investors out to dry. In both cases, even though the investors lost money when the bubble popped, the infrastructure remained, and allowed the next generation of companies to flourish and transform the economy and lives of everyone. Perhaps this is a pattern? That laying down infrastructure and building up expertise are critical, but people doing it don't get to reap the rewards of it.
  - singularity2001 2y ago
    Google and Amazon survived

I think many people believe this is an absolute bubble I wonder why. I've never came across a product that changed the way I work and get information for the better as fast as LLMs.

xnx 2y ago

LLMs are amazing and probably as important a technology as electricity, the internal combustion engine, radio, or smartphones, but $61.5 billion can still be waaaay overvalued for Anthropic.

aurareturn 2y ago
At some point in the next year or two, if you were to make me give up the browser (and all websites) or an LLM, I might choose the browser.
- soupfordummies 2y ago
  Really? What does it do for you? Maybe I'm limited by imagination or the free plan but it seems like I get faulty info or hallucinations more than I get game-changing productivity boosts.
  - TeMPOraL 2y ago
    > or the free plan There's your answer. Yes, on a free plan, you don't get to experience the state of the art that excites people so much. Models are weaker and more prone to hallucinate, and limits are stricter - both of which makes the services much less useful for causal use. Pay $20 and play with ChatGPT for a month (or go the API route and find good software that lets you supply your own API key), see what you get. Yes, technically ChatGPT has this $200 tier, but I don't think it makes a qualitative difference for causal use, given that (apparently, as I discovered two days ago), even the "Deep Research" thing is now available on the $20 tier - in limited amount (I have 10 queries per month), but enough to give it a solid test drive.

singularity2001 2y ago

> many people believe this is an absolute bubble The authors of "The internet is just a fad"?

TeMPOraL 2y ago
FWIW, dotcom bubble was real. I also find myself frequently thinking about the "railroad era" in the US - from what I read, that too was a bubble, and companies that built up rail lines across the continent all went bust, leaving investors out to dry. In both cases, even though the investors lost money when the bubble popped, the infrastructure remained, and allowed the next generation of companies to flourish and transform the economy and lives of everyone. Perhaps this is a pattern? That laying down infrastructure and building up expertise are critical, but people doing it don't get to reap the rewards of it.
- singularity2001 2y ago
  Google and Amazon survived