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How you think China can marshall an invasion force without it being seen, and mount a lightning campaign escapes me.

• throwaway48476 2y ago
  It would be entirely airborne and if the coup is established before anyone in the pacific can act they likely won't respond militarily.
  • ggm 2y ago
    If a successful tolerably bloodless coup happens, I agree ASEAN will temporise and fall back on the painful economic warfare. I think this is the least likely assault and has many risk points in execution. No doubt Carter thought his airborne insertion into Iran was going to work.
    • throwaway48476 2y ago
      Painful for who? They all outsourced their factories to China. Military power is an extension of industrial power. In the cold war the US had a better military because it could leverage the consumer technology industry. Now that's all moved to China.
  • Scea91 2y ago
    Sounds very similar to how the Ukraine “special military operation” was intended and you see the result. Its also probably a scenario Taiwan’s defense is preparing for.