5 ms·

Seems like we're hitting the limits of the technology...

by kubb 2y ago

xmichael909 2y ago
Yes, I believe the sprint is over, now its doing to be slow cycles maybe 18 months to see a 5% increase an ability and even that 5% increase will be highly subjective. Claude's new release is about the same 3.7 is arguably worse at some things than 3.5 and better at others. Based on the previous pace of release in about 6 months or so - if the next release from any of the leaders is about the same "kinda better kinda worse" then we'll know. Imagine how much money is going to evaporate from the stock market if this is the limit!!!
- ANewFormation 2y ago
  You can keep getting rich off shovels long after the gold has run dry.
- deleted 2y ago
  [deleted]
- borgdefenser 2y ago
  To say 3.7 is worse is completely insane.
TIPSIO 2y ago
I also hate waiting on reasoning. I much would prefer a super lightning fast model that is cheaper but the same quality as these frontier models. Let me query these things to death.
- ljlolel 2y ago
  try groq (hyperfast chips) https://groq.com/ https://groq.com/
apwell23 2y ago
does it mean we get a reprieve from "this is just the beginning" comments.
- kubb 2y ago
  I wouldn't count on it.
- thfuran 2y ago
  Maybe if it takes many years before the next major architectural advancement.
gloosx 2y ago
Consumer limits. When something is good enough to generate stable profit, there is no real incentive to innovate beyond the bare minimum; just enough to keep consumers engaged, shareholders satisfied, and regulators at bay. This is how modern capitalism operates. We keep receiving new version numbers without any meaningful change — consumers keep updating their subscriptions out of habit — xyzAI PR managers, HR managers, corporate lawyers, and countless other bureaucrats keep collecting their paychecks, secretly dreaming of retirement. Meanwhile, xyzAI's top management burns money on endless acquisitions just to fight boredom, gradually morphing into xyz(ai)MEGAcorp, a monolith dabbling in everything from crude oil processing and styrofoam cups to web services and AI models. No modern megacorporation is capable of creating anything fundamentally new beyond what worked for them once. Universal welfare and prosperity could have been achieved 60 years ago, but that would have disrupted the cycle. Instead, we got planned obsolescence, endless subscription models, and a world where everything “new” is just a slightly repackaged version of last year’s product.

Seems like we're hitting the limits of the technology...

by kubb 2y ago

Seems like we're hitting the limits of the technology...

Yes, I believe the sprint is over, now its doing to be slow cycles maybe 18 months to see a 5% increase an ability and even that 5% increase will be highly subjective. Claude's new release is about the same 3.7 is arguably worse at some things than 3.5 and better at others. Based on the previous pace of release in about 6 months or so - if the next release from any of the leaders is about the same "kinda better kinda worse" then we'll know. Imagine how much money is going to evaporate from the stock market if this is the limit!!!

ANewFormation 2y ago
You can keep getting rich off shovels long after the gold has run dry.
deleted 2y ago
[deleted]
borgdefenser 2y ago
To say 3.7 is worse is completely insane.

TIPSIO 2y ago

I also hate waiting on reasoning. I much would prefer a super lightning fast model that is cheaper but the same quality as these frontier models. Let me query these things to death.

ljlolel 2y ago
try groq (hyperfast chips) https://groq.com/ https://groq.com/

apwell23 2y ago

does it mean we get a reprieve from "this is just the beginning" comments.

kubb 2y ago
I wouldn't count on it.
thfuran 2y ago
Maybe if it takes many years before the next major architectural advancement.

gloosx 2y ago

Consumer limits. When something is good enough to generate stable profit, there is no real incentive to innovate beyond the bare minimum; just enough to keep consumers engaged, shareholders satisfied, and regulators at bay. This is how modern capitalism operates. We keep receiving new version numbers without any meaningful change — consumers keep updating their subscriptions out of habit — xyzAI PR managers, HR managers, corporate lawyers, and countless other bureaucrats keep collecting their paychecks, secretly dreaming of retirement. Meanwhile, xyzAI's top management burns money on endless acquisitions just to fight boredom, gradually morphing into xyz(ai)MEGAcorp, a monolith dabbling in everything from crude oil processing and styrofoam cups to web services and AI models. No modern megacorporation is capable of creating anything fundamentally new beyond what worked for them once. Universal welfare and prosperity could have been achieved 60 years ago, but that would have disrupted the cycle. Instead, we got planned obsolescence, endless subscription models, and a world where everything “new” is just a slightly repackaged version of last year’s product.