The argument has always been "Isn't this amazing? Look what we can do now that we couldn't do yesterday." The fundamental mistake was measuring progress by the

The argument has always been "Isn't this amazing? Look what we can do now that we couldn't do yesterday." The fundamental mistake was measuring progress by the delta between yesterday and today rather than by the remaining delta between today and $GOAL. Granted that latter delta is much harder to measure, but history has shown repeatedly that that delta is always orders of magnitude bigger than we think it is when $GOAL=AGI.