A lot of people like him a lot. Not all of his voters, but enough that it would take a serious disaster for enough of those to support throwing him out. That wo

A lot of people like him a lot. Not all of his voters, but enough that it would take a serious disaster for enough of those to support throwing him out. That would be a massive rupture that would make the party utterly untenable for years to come. It would take more than a recession. It would take a Great Depression-scale economic event. That's not impossible (and ironically, if it did happen, it would not be solely his fault), but I don't think any of these economists are expecting it. A recession would cause Congress to shift, but the first removal of a President would require an utter economic catastrophe. Also, note that the person replacing him would be largely identical.