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I'd wager if the economists are right and if it happens within 2 years, politicians of all stripes will be racing to save the political skins. That will lead t
by rstuart4133 2y ago
I'd wager if the economists are right and if it happens within 2 years, politicians of all stripes will be racing to save the political skins.
That will lead to a titanic struggle between the executive branch and the rest, given the past history of Trump setting an armed mob onto Washington. He got away with it that time of course because he wasn't that unpopular. If the economy tanks that crutch is gone. People didn't vote for him because they liked him. They voted against the poor shmuck who happened to be in power when the hangover created by the COVID money bazooka came home to roost. Every democracy that held an election in 2024 did the same thing.
If that happens we will see the if the balance of powers the US founders put into the constitution work. I expect they will, but it will be highly entertaining to watch. From the relative safety of Australia.
It took 4 years for ill effects of the 2020 bazooka to take effect. If the effects of Trumps actions doesn't effect the economy within 2 years, I wouldn't be betting on Congress doing anything.
- jfengel 2y agoA lot of people like him a lot. Not all of his voters, but enough that it would take a serious disaster for enough of those to support throwing him out. That would be a massive rupture that would make the party utterly untenable for years to come. It would take more than a recession. It would take a Great Depression-scale economic event. That's not impossible (and ironically, if it did happen, it would not be solely his fault), but I don't think any of these economists are expecting it. A recession would cause Congress to shift, but the first removal of a President would require an utter economic catastrophe. Also, note that the person replacing him would be largely identical.