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I picked those examples because I figured most people are familiar enough with them. I'm in no way asserting that guerrilla warfare is a perfect method of fight
by run4yourlives 14y ago
I picked those examples because I figured most people are familiar enough with them. I'm in no way asserting that guerrilla warfare is a perfect method of fighting or that it somehow guarentees success. At best it's 60/40.
That being said, I'm not quite sure what you are arguing. If you are suggesting that the US was victorious in Vietnam you're missing the point. Winning the battle but not the war, as it were.
If you think Vietnam is too unique, feel free to substitute the boer war, the war in Angola, the soviets vs. the afghans, etc etc etc. It's not like there are a lack of examples.
- gwern 14y ago> I'm in no way asserting that guerrilla warfare is a perfect method of fighting or that it somehow guarentees success. At best it's 60/40. And to reiterate my point about selection bias, I think you are wildly optimistic about its success and that a proper sample of hundreds of conflicts - include the less known ones - will show a lower success rate. > It's not like there are a lack of examples. You've named like, 10. That's better than most people could and I applaud it, but it's still nowhere near an answer.
- run4yourlives 14y agoListen, if you want to force me to conduct an exhaustive review of every conflict in human history, you better at least provide something other than your opinion as a counterpoint.