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I found this quote interesting: "psychologists have found that a person flourishes when their chance of success is between 80% and 95%. If your chance of succes
by greendestiny 18y ago
I found this quote interesting: "psychologists have found that a person flourishes when their chance of success is between 80% and 95%. If your chance of success is below 80%, you start to act desperate. Above 95%, you start to get complacent".
I wonder if many startups feel anywhere close to an 80% chance of success.
- bprater 18y agoI think it's imperative. From an outsider's perspective, most start-ups look like a bunch of nuts riding the edge of sanity. From the inside, you have to convince yourself that you will succeed. Yes, it looks a little bit like crazy.
- greendestiny 18y agoI'm not sure I've ever been that confident on a decent sized project. I'm starting to wonder if it explains a lot of things about me or if its just the latest convenient thing to tell myself :)
- diN0bot 18y agothe other interesting thing is that a persons perceptions of statistics and the statistics of different situations is all kind of skewed. the first question is how did psychologists ascertain and normalize someone's perception of the chance of success. the second question is how does the system react now that we know about it.
- newt0311 18y agoIts psychology. Interesting as the field is, do you seriously think that that conclusion has any scientific validity?
- tdavis 18y agoIf I had to put on a number on it, I think we have an 80%+ chance of success. However, I'm just here for the journey. The result of the journey, whatever it may be, only signifies it's time for a new journey. Basically, I can't lose.