3 ms·

If China does anything it will be in support of the Tatmadaw, either overtly or covertly.

by throaway1989 2y ago

deleted 2y ago
[deleted]
alephnerd 2y ago
The Tatmadaw isn't a unified force either anymore. It's got it's own factions, and mid-level leadership (especially the farther out you get from Naypyidaw) allies with China, Thailand, or India.
- throaway1989 2y ago
  That's interesting, do you have any links to the different factions in the Tat right now?
  - alephnerd 2y ago
    Sadly, not off the top of my head. (Edit: here you go. An overview from 2021 by the Tea Circle group formerly at St Anthony's College, Oxford but now at UToronto Munk - https://teacircleoxford.com/politics/peering-under-the-hood-coup-narratives-and-tatmadaw-factionalism/ https://teacircleoxford.com/politics/peering-under-the-hood-...) A lot of this came up in a meetup I participated in a couple years ago at HKS. But at a high level, you'll see Chinese weapon sales [0] happen at the same time as Indian weapon sales [1] to the Tatmadaw, despite both China and India directly competing with each other. Sadly, Myanmar was always a basket case because the British ignored it when it was British India and later British Burma, so outside the Bamar core, the state never truly existed on the ground. And after the 2020 China-India standoff, Myanmar became even more of a conflict zone because at it's shortest it's a 40 mile buffer zone between Assam and Yunnan. [0] - https://www.reuters.com/world/un-expert-says-russia-china-sending-deadly-aid-myanmars-military-2023-05-17/ https://www.reuters.com/world/un-expert-says-russia-china-se... [1] - https://amp.dw.com/en/how-india-is-supporting-myanmars-military-with-arms/a-65733102 https://amp.dw.com/en/how-india-is-supporting-myanmars-milit...
- v3ss0n 2y ago
  It still is a unified force but crippling house of cards now. Thy are losing and massacring civilization In retaliation on those liberated areas using 500lb bombs. Lost of civilians deaths on those areas there's aren't any conflicts. But many of them are in people side and spying for revolution forces.

If China does anything it will be in support of the Tatmadaw, either overtly or covertly.

deleted 2y ago

[deleted]

The Tatmadaw isn't a unified force either anymore. It's got it's own factions, and mid-level leadership (especially the farther out you get from Naypyidaw) allies with China, Thailand, or India.

throaway1989 2y ago
That's interesting, do you have any links to the different factions in the Tat right now?
- alephnerd 2y ago
  Sadly, not off the top of my head. (Edit: here you go. An overview from 2021 by the Tea Circle group formerly at St Anthony's College, Oxford but now at UToronto Munk - https://teacircleoxford.com/politics/peering-under-the-hood-coup-narratives-and-tatmadaw-factionalism/ https://teacircleoxford.com/politics/peering-under-the-hood-...) A lot of this came up in a meetup I participated in a couple years ago at HKS. But at a high level, you'll see Chinese weapon sales [0] happen at the same time as Indian weapon sales [1] to the Tatmadaw, despite both China and India directly competing with each other. Sadly, Myanmar was always a basket case because the British ignored it when it was British India and later British Burma, so outside the Bamar core, the state never truly existed on the ground. And after the 2020 China-India standoff, Myanmar became even more of a conflict zone because at it's shortest it's a 40 mile buffer zone between Assam and Yunnan. [0] - https://www.reuters.com/world/un-expert-says-russia-china-sending-deadly-aid-myanmars-military-2023-05-17/ https://www.reuters.com/world/un-expert-says-russia-china-se... [1] - https://amp.dw.com/en/how-india-is-supporting-myanmars-military-with-arms/a-65733102 https://amp.dw.com/en/how-india-is-supporting-myanmars-milit...
v3ss0n 2y ago
It still is a unified force but crippling house of cards now. Thy are losing and massacring civilization In retaliation on those liberated areas using 500lb bombs. Lost of civilians deaths on those areas there's aren't any conflicts. But many of them are in people side and spying for revolution forces.