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We already have 9 billion "GI"'s without the "A". What makes you think adding a billion more to the already oversupplied pool will be a drastic change?
by otabdeveloper4 2y ago
We already have 9 billion "GI"'s without the "A". What makes you think adding a billion more to the already oversupplied pool will be a drastic change?
- _diyar 2y agoMarginal cost of labour is what will matter.
- otabdeveloper4 2y agoThat "AGI" is supposed to be a cheaper form of labor is an assumption based on nothing at all.
- itsafarqueue 2y agoA(Narrow)I is a cheaper form of labor already. I suppose it’s plausible that its General form may not be, but I won’t be betting in that direction.
- _diyar 2y agoAssuming we ever get to AGI[1], even if it is 10e9 times more expensive than human labour, ln(10e9) ~ 23 => Within 23*18 months compute will have become theoretically cheap enough to make it equivalently in price to human labour[2]. [1] Arguably, full generality is not required, only generality across the labour domain in question. [2] Of course, the question remains: Who will be able to reap this reward. My bet is on the fabs + chip design.