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> It could be that the price of used cars goes down due to oversupply, but the price of used EV's relative to the price of used ICE vehicles goes up. Maybe? I
by Marsymars 2y ago
> It could be that the price of used cars goes down due to oversupply, but the price of used EV's relative to the price of used ICE vehicles goes up.
Maybe? I think the best driver of that would be regulation that internalizes the externalities of gas cars, but that doesn't seem to be workable politically.
> Who's going to buy a 5 year old Camry for $20k if the price of a brand new equivalent EV is $20K?
That's a bit of a funny example, because a lot of the value in a $20k used Camry is in the fact that it says "Toyota Camry"... so really, the only "equivalent" EV for $20k is going to be a $20k mid-size Toyota EV. I think we desperately need cheaper EVs, but I don't see a short-to-mid-term reality where Toyota starts selling an EV Camry for 30% less than the current hybrid Camry MSRP.
For used pricing to come down, EV vs ICE is nearly irrelevant - we just need cheaper new cars of whatever people are buying, and I don't see anything especially promising to bring down the cost of new cars.