No? It's more than half the probability of getting a critical in D&D, which is something that happens all the time. If during a particular day you judge that

No? It's more than half the probability of getting a critical in D&D, which is something that happens all the time. If during a particular day you judge that you have a 3.1% chance of running into another car due to winter weather and no winter tyres, you leave the car home that day.