The problem with climate change and wildfires is a moral risk. If climate change can be blamed, it means bad management of forests is not the problem, so there

The problem with climate change and wildfires is a moral risk. If climate change can be blamed, it means bad management of forests is not the problem, so there is no need to spend money and effort on it. In fact, anything that raises the risk should mean that you put more effort into better management. The other problem is that the models are extremely complex and there are limits on the data available for back testing. Its similar to the problems with economic modelling, rather than those typical in say physics. We also do not have enough planets or time to test hypotheses!