3 ms·
The danger with a widely spread asymptomatic infection is that it might become symptomatic, or might be for some portion of the population. Or chickens.
by MathMonkeyMan 2y ago
The danger with a widely spread asymptomatic infection is that it might become symptomatic, or might be for some portion of the population. Or chickens.
- zmgsabst 2y agoBut we already have widespread flus every year — which aren’t asymptomatic. How does this compare?
- kgwxd 2y ago[flagged]
- zmgsabst 2y agoWhat’s an example of a statement where I “know everything about flu viruses”?
- ethbr1 2y agoWorse. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_mortality_from_H5N1 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_mortality_from_H5N1
- zmgsabst 2y agoIf you look up the general topic, the listed ones are endemic strains — ie, the yearly ones. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_pandemic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_pandemic Being surprised by asymptomatic cases suggests their IFR numbers are high on the page you linked, due to low occurrence and conflation with other colds (or asymptomatic cases). Is there anything to suggest that the asymptomatic strain detected here is worse?
- matheweis 2y agoHow is that statistic not severely flawed? Unless they are performing large scale sampling of the general population, the denominator (cases of confirmed influenza) is potentially much larger in practice. Moreso because it seems likely that the confirmed cases are sampled from the sickest population seeking treatment. And this article is further evidence of exactly this, since the "silent infections" here were previously uncounted.
- ethbr1 2y ago>.< This feels like having COVID arguments again. We both understand that pandemics don't happen under controlled, fully observable situations, yes? And therefore must be studied and predicted based on incomplete information? And this has been the case since the dawn of epidemiology?