Isn't this still too high of a false positive rate to be useful? IIUC, if you give this to 100,000 people, it will give you 2,000 false positive results. But on

Isn't this still too high of a false positive rate to be useful? IIUC, if you give this to 100,000 people, it will give you 2,000 false positive results. But only 13.5 new pancreatic cancer cases occur per 100,000 adults in the U.S. each year [0]. So if you took this test annually, a positive result still means a less than 1% chance you have cancer? [0]: https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/pancreas.html https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/pancreas.html edit: although that NCI data doesn't make sense to me. If only 13.5 new cases appear per 100K, how can that accumulate to lifetime diagnosis rate of 1.7%? 100000 * 0.017 = 1700; 1700 / 13.5 = ~126 years to accumulate a 1.7% chance of diagnosis.