2 ms·

Humans are notoriously bad at extrapolating exponentials.

• aleph_minus_one 2y ago
  ... and many people who make this claim are notoriously prone to extrapolating exponential trends into a far longer future than the exponential trend model is suitable for. Addendum: Extrapolating exponentials is actually very easy for humans: just plot the y axis on a logarithmic scale and draw a "plausible looking line" in the diagram. :-)
  • baq 2y ago
    ah the 'everything is linear on a log-log plot when drawn with a fat marker' argument :)
  • thijson 2y ago
    In the Dune universe the AI's are banned.