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The median car in service in the USA is 13 years old, so I think your mental model of car lifetime is pretty outdated. For cars made today you should figure 22-
by jeffbee 2y ago
The median car in service in the USA is 13 years old, so I think your mental model of car lifetime is pretty outdated. For cars made today you should figure 22-25 years.
- cogman10 2y agoThis says 16->18 [1] Where are you getting 22+? Definitely an update to my mental model though. [1] https://autorecyclingworld.com/what-is-the-lifespan-of-a-vehicle-in-the-usa/#:~:text=The%20average%20lifespan%20of%20vehicles,2023%20across%20the%20United%20States. https://autorecyclingworld.com/what-is-the-lifespan-of-a-veh...
- jeffbee 2y agoSee recent paper, noting the trend and that the rightmost point of the trend is already 8 years ago. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-024-01698-1/figures/4 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-024-01698-1/figures/4
- cogman10 2y agoVery interesting. I wonder why there's an apparent discrepancy between UK and US life expectancy. The UK has more stop and go traffic, I'd have thought that'd be harder on vehicles.