This feels like the work of a highly intelligent person operating on very scant information- it’s easy to construct castles of thought that more or less fit you

This feels like the work of a highly intelligent person operating on very scant information- it’s easy to construct castles of thought that more or less fit your experiences, but at some point the slow tedious work of conducting experiments and data has to be done, and most of these sorts of elaborate guesses turn out to be wrong.