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Here are drop-off counts and percentages by state and county: https://smartelections.us/dropoff#e0e8218a-4b28-4e0c-b854-7f937e3397ee https://smartelections.us/d

Here are drop-off counts and percentages by state and county: https://smartelections.us/dropoff#e0e8218a-4b28-4e0c-b854-7f937e3397ee https://smartelections.us/dropoff#e0e8218a-4b28-4e0c-b854-7f... It's clear that drop-off varies a lot: ±30% by state, and even more by county. I'm sure if you looked at the vote data from every tabulator in every county in every state, you'll find more than one "squint and you'll kind of see it" pattern. I'll need more evidence before I suspect anything bad happened to the vote. (IMO voter suppression efforts are potentially election-impacting, but vote manipulation less likely.)

andor 2y ago
It's not the drop-off percentages that are interesting. It's the pattern that you can see in the scatter plot (section 3 of https://electiontruthalliance.org/clark-county%2C-nv https://electiontruthalliance.org/clark-county%2C-nv): Voting machines that saw more voters had a larger skew. Up to about 300 votes per machine, the results look pretty random and natural. From there on, the pattern changes drastically and shows unexpected clustering. It's unexpected because larger samples should slowly converge but still be normally distributed (law of large numbers). Instead of matching a bell curve, the distribution shows a "russian tail" (search for it on the page), a sign of vote manipulation. All this is only for the early votes. If you compare the scatter plots and distributions of early votes vs. election day, they look completely different.