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I don't like to have all the work that went into Starliner to be in vain. Similarly I wouldn't like to have all the work that went into Orion to produce nothing
by avmich 2y ago
I don't like to have all the work that went into Starliner to be in vain. Similarly I wouldn't like to have all the work that went into Orion to produce nothing tangible in the short term. We don't really have enough man-rated spacecraft, and won't be for some time.
- readthenotes1 2y agoSunk cost fallacy
- avmich 2y agoWhy do you think so? Note that I don't propose to fund indefinitely something which can't be made to work effectively (e.g. profitably)
- readthenotes1 2y ago"I don't like to have all the work that went into Starliner to be in vain" Is pretty much straight something cost fallacy if you're then saying to spend another penny on a program that has performed so badly
- avmich 2y agoI'm not sure Starliner can't be salvaged. A good analysis of its problems would go a long way towards a weighted, reasoned decision. That is, the technical architecture, the design and implementation decisions should be available to reviewers, and as a result they would know if it's easier to start building a spacecraft from scratch - or better to fix some specific problems with existing system which at least managed to bring people to ISS and return itself back to Earth. Who will do the review? Maybe it's Boeing, as part of the project analysis in the wake of events. Maybe it's another company which would buy the branch the Boeing would like to sell. Maybe it's even external government agency - NASA - or company - Blue Origin? - who'd have expertise and enough impartiality in the results.
- readthenotes1 2y agoIt's a jobs program foremost. It's been fairly successful at that. But with unemployment so low, it's not really useful any more.