3 ms·

And the all knowing pg said that the iPhone will never have more than 5% market share https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33083 https://news.ycombinator.com/i

• xanderlewis 2y ago
  That seems like a strange interpretation of the comment you linked. He was responding to the question of how much market share the iPhone needs to make an impact; not predicting an upper bound on the market share.
• ahofmann 2y ago
  Read that thread again. pg said iPhone needs at least 5% market share to make the needed impact, that was discussed in the thread.
• sampo 2y ago
  I can translate the answers to you: --- > What marketshare do you think iphone needs to make such an impact? 5% > And why do you think it will gain that huge marketshare? Because of iPod (because iPod already has quite a bit of market share). > Its the first "nice looking internet in your pocket". But is that enough to take over the mobile world? Actually, iPhone is much more than just that. > First Mover = guaranteed success? No, of course being first mover does not alone guarantee success. --- Then again, pg was wrong is his main point that either Flash or Microsoft's Silverlight would take over the world. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32994 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32994