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This kindles a thought I've harbored for a long time: that I should be tracking my predictions. About everything. Because I feel I'm pretty good about predictio

• gloryjulio 2y ago
  Aren't that just design docs ;D
  • lolc 2y ago
    In some ways yes! I frequently update design docs to include what I learned.
• RealityVoid 2y ago
  Try it. I predict you'll be right less often than you'd like, but probably more often than the median popular, it's just you need some way to track how often _other_ people are right as well.
• sdwr 2y ago
  Probably the normal amount, by: - forgetting wrong predictions - tweaking your predictions after the fact to be more correct - only making predictions you are relatively sure of The real difference is whether you can do it on command, or only when you feel like it. In the second case, it's less of a prediction, and more of a roundabout way your brain tells you that you know something.