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Turns out even highly motivated professionals don't understand that correlation is not causality: > For girls, it is the number of likes sent; the number of li
by dash2 2y ago
Turns out even highly motivated professionals don't understand that correlation is not causality:
> For girls, it is the number of likes sent; the number of likes received has no impact on retention, maybe a little bit but less than 1%. The number of likes sent has a huge impact; a user that liked no profile in her 100 first scrolls has a d30 of 12%, and 19% for girls that like 10 profiles and 16% for girls that liked 5 profiles. The d1 retention is almost 100% correlated to a girl sending 5 likes to active guys in the first 24 hours (the real thing is to get a match, but it is easy to get a match when a girl sends 5 likes). So to have the perfect d1 retention for girls, the only thing you should focus on is to get them to send 5 likes. And you have about 100 scrolls to do so.
- wavemode 2y agoIf you read the article, it is very clear that the author understands that this correlation is not causation. He points out numerous times that the thing which causes girls to send likes is that their feed contains attractive men.
- dash2 2y agoMy point was that they misunderstood that sending likes does not necessarily cause later user retention just because it correlates with it.