> Finally, drones haven’t been useful against ships in Red Sea Comparing a Houthi attack against a peer adversary drone & missile attack would likely have very

> Finally, drones haven’t been useful against ships in Red Sea Comparing a Houthi attack against a peer adversary drone & missile attack would likely have very different results. Defense depletion (i.e. out of ammo) is the current weakness of defenses. That is why energy weapons are the next big thing - you don't run out of shells for a laser. Counting on defense is a historic proven way to fail at war-fighting. > Speed matters for getting through defenses. As does stealth, surprise, maneuverability, timing, rules of engagement and many other factors. Defense is really difficult - especially given you may be countering something unprecedented. The recent Red Sea activity did not have the element of surprise, no stealth weapons were used and the timing was well known. Not a good bellwether.