According to your own figures, if plane travel gets even just 200x less safe, it would become less safe than driving. I mention this not because I know how much

According to your own figures, if plane travel gets even just 200x less safe, it would become less safe than driving. I mention this not because I know how much less safe flying is going to become, but because you don’t either. 200x less safe may be relatively easy for us to achieve if flying fatalities are as low as I believe they are. Moreover, I’m not sure if I give into the framing of your figures. According to google, a plane ride on average goes 500 miles, while an average car trip is 11 miles. I am not sure if I’m doing the math correctly, but I’m pretty sure an average plane ride is thus less safe than an average car trip. Sure, you can argue that a road trip is less safe than the same flight distance as a plane — and I don’t think I would even disagree with making that the standard — but I think saying flying is safer across the board would require narrowing yourself to a more subjective definition for “safer” than your comment suggests.