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Typically when AI hits human capabilities they immediately overshoot and become superhuman. We're probably going to see a peak in our cultural abilities, both f

by roenxi 2y ago

Typically when AI hits human capabilities they immediately overshoot and become superhuman. We're probably going to see a peak in our cultural abilities, both from AI directly and from humans having superhuman teachers to help them in their formative years. > ... that was never a good model even before today's rich largely abandoned the belief that they had a responsibility to contribute back to the society... And now to the meat. The rich never believed that! The evidence I've seen was that the patronage system was all about showing off how rich they were. My town ended up with a bunch of really nice churches because all the local landholders were purple-in-the-face having to put up with those damn other Catholics/Baptists/Anglicans/whatever families having nicer churches than they did. The economy is all about taking base human emotions and using them to power improvements regardless.

Propelloni 2y ago
Bear with me, I'm serious. When you say "Typically when AI hits human capabilities they immediately overshoot and become superhuman", what AI are you thinking of?
- roenxi 2y ago
  What I've seen suggests that in absolute terms human intelligence is fairly low variability. Officially I refer to this chart [0]. Unofficially I'm usually thinking of AlphaGo as my reference. The Fan Hui version didn't look like it was as strong as the one that won against Lee Sedol, and that version was weak vs. what the AlphaGo team bought to bear a little later online. The sub- to super- human was remarkably fast. Given the rate of improvement of Stable Diffusion (v1 was amazing in context that it just wasn't possible before, but before around SD v3 I didn't feel like it followed the prompt at all - then Flux happened) I'd expect to see an AI system pumping out Pride and Prejudice-level works by the minute some time this decade and I have no idea what the future of art will be but I imagine pretty impressive. [0] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/test-scores-ai-capabilities-relative-human-performance https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/test-scores-ai-capabiliti...

by roenxi 2y ago

Propelloni 2y ago

Bear with me, I'm serious. When you say "Typically when AI hits human capabilities they immediately overshoot and become superhuman", what AI are you thinking of?

roenxi 2y ago
What I've seen suggests that in absolute terms human intelligence is fairly low variability. Officially I refer to this chart [0]. Unofficially I'm usually thinking of AlphaGo as my reference. The Fan Hui version didn't look like it was as strong as the one that won against Lee Sedol, and that version was weak vs. what the AlphaGo team bought to bear a little later online. The sub- to super- human was remarkably fast. Given the rate of improvement of Stable Diffusion (v1 was amazing in context that it just wasn't possible before, but before around SD v3 I didn't feel like it followed the prompt at all - then Flux happened) I'd expect to see an AI system pumping out Pride and Prejudice-level works by the minute some time this decade and I have no idea what the future of art will be but I imagine pretty impressive. [0] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/test-scores-ai-capabilities-relative-human-performance https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/test-scores-ai-capabiliti...