It seems like an obvious opinion. Not that it's obviously true, but that the evidence for it is obvious - as in, it shouldn't be a confusing or surprising opini

It seems like an obvious opinion. Not that it's obviously true, but that the evidence for it is obvious - as in, it shouldn't be a confusing or surprising opinion for somebody to have. You may perfectly reasonably disagree with it, but that's not the same as asking somebody to summarize the story so far under the pretense that you don't know what they're talking about.