3 ms·
The impact to society would be much greater on a sociological scale then on a physical scale, many nukes are more than 8Mt, the likelihood of it hitting a highl
by Willingham 2y ago
The impact to society would be much greater on a sociological scale then on a physical scale, many nukes are more than 8Mt, the likelihood of it hitting a highly populated area is lower still.
- elric 2y agoI don't think I understand your comment. The yield of nukes is of no consequence if they're not being used, so I don't think the comparison stands?
- Willingham 2y agoMy point is, we have used nukes, so we know exactly what the worst case scenario is, and that’s about 20-50 million lives(hitting Tokyo or NYC). Equal to the number of deaths during the Spanish flu or half of world war 2. I think the comparison helps us understand what the risk truly is. I think the world would panic and likely loose more lives through chaos than the actual impact.
- bunabhucan 2y ago3.8m for NYC , 3.1m for Tokyo https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/?&kt=8000&lat=40.72422&lng=-73.99611&hob_psi=5&hob_ft=20490&crater=1&casualties=1&psi=20,5,1&zm=9 https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/?&kt=8000&lat=40.72422&ln... https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/?&kt=8000&lat=35.6889853&lng=139.6929116&airburst=0&hob_ft=0&crater=1&casualties=1&psi=20,5,1&zm=10 https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/?&kt=8000&lat=35.6889853&...
- elric 2y agoLosing 20-50 million lives through "panic" seems like a crazy estimate. What are you basing this on?
- jjk166 2y ago20-50 million is an extremely high worst case scenario estimate. An 8 Mt explosion detonated at a random point on earth would most likely not kill anyone.