> “people should not be surprised when they are occasionally surprised, and they should anticipate being surprised some more in the future.” It’s mildly hilari

> “people should not be surprised when they are occasionally surprised, and they should anticipate being surprised some more in the future.” It’s mildly hilarious that you’re deriding Taleb for thinking (and investing) at a level that all of bubble-chasing investment houses are incapable of achieving. He’s made so much money precisely because this thing you’re describing as so stupidly obvious, is actually, not, stupidly obvious to people.