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Model capabilities are not plateauing; in fact, they are improving exponentially. I believe people struggle to grasp how AI works and how it differs from other
by mirzap 2y ago
Model capabilities are not plateauing; in fact, they are improving exponentially. I believe people struggle to grasp how AI works and how it differs from other technologies we invented. Our brains tend to think linearly; that's why we see AI as an "app." With AI (ASI), everything accelerates. There will be no concept of an "app" in ASI world.
- LZ_Khan 2y agoHype. We were already plateauing with next token prediction and letting the models think out loud has simply pushed the frontier a little bit in purely test-taking domains.
- solumunus 2y agoThey are absolutely not improving exponentially, by any metric. This is a completely absurd claim. I don’t think you understand what exponential means.
- netdevphoenix 2y agoCan you give examples? From gpt-4 came out in 2023 and since then nothing similar to (3.5 to 4 or 2 to 3) has come out. It has been 2 years now. All signs point towards OpenAI struggling to get improvements from its llms. The new releases have been minor since 2023
- HDThoreaun 2y agoThe chain of thought models provide huge improvements in certain areas. 2 years is also hardly enough time to claim theyre stuck
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- netdevphoenix 2y agoMoney is not cheap anymore and OpenAI costs a lot to run. The longer it takes between impactful releases, the harder it gets for OpenAi to raise money especially in the face of significant competition both nationally, in the open source world and from China
- franktankbank 2y agoI keep reading this comment all over the internet.