3 ms·
It could be a matter of massively parallel computation (trillions of synapses functioning at once) plus efficiency of chemical-analog vs transistor. But, person
by daveguy 2y ago
It could be a matter of massively parallel computation (trillions of synapses functioning at once) plus efficiency of chemical-analog vs transistor. But, personally I believe, there are a lot more algorithmic issues between what we are doing now and what the brain is doing. Even if it's just a matter of scale, we are at least a million fold away from the bandwidth and processing power of a single human brain vs exaflop supercomputers, especially in efficiency. Closing that gap, will require 20 years of Moore's law + bandwidth + efficiency + equivalent of 18 years grounded training (probably faster than 18y). We are not close to having our most powerful computers as flexible and general purpose intelligence as a single human. The 20 year limitation is based on processing, efficiency, and bandwidth. Hopefully the algorithms will catch up by then.
- valine 2y agoEven if everything you said is true it doesn’t mean general AI is 20 years away. Computers are many orders of magnitude faster at non-parallel tasks. Who’s to say raw clock speeds won’t easily compensate for any deficiencies vs the brain. You can run a trillion parameter model on a single machine today. We’re maybe 4 or 5 years away from that same 1T model running on an iPhone.