4 ms·
Prior probability estimates are not part of science?
by strangecasts 2y ago
Prior probability estimates are not part of science?
- labster 2y agoPrior probability estimates of p = 0.083 are not extraordinary. As the sibling says one out of twelve past pandemics was a known lab leak.
- strangecasts 2y agoOkay, but your objection was requiring more evidence for the less likely assertion constituted an "arbitrary bar", you cannot argue that and quote _an arbitrary estimate by another commenter_