I am reasonably certain that (a) there will not be an invasion of Taiwan, but (b) feinting at it is fairly popular in China. The Americans feel queasy about it

I am reasonably certain that (a) there will not be an invasion of Taiwan, but (b) feinting at it is fairly popular in China. The Americans feel queasy about it, which is what makes it so popular in China. An actual war would be less popular, but as long as there is uncertainty about it, they get the benefit. The US has been doing "strategic ambiguity" about Taiwan as well, for decades, and this is the logical continuation.