4 ms·
Pretty much this - the only way the entire premise works is if you have a huge number of cheap commodity hardware that's going for the 0.1% of a 99.9% succes ra
by pxmpxm 2y ago
Pretty much this - the only way the entire premise works is if you have a huge number of cheap commodity hardware that's going for the 0.1% of a 99.9% succes rate defense system.
Defense companies won't like it, because commodity is synonymous with "low margin", so it's not surprising you end up with something that's two orders of mag higher price point and a buzzworld salad ("AI enhanced" because we have added some ML-based damping to a kalman filter to charge more money) to go with it
- Animats 2y agoA 99.9% successful defense system is unlikely. CWIS is nowhere near that good. Overwhelming a defense with an attack from multiple directions has worked. Read up on the sinking of the Moskva[1] and Russia's current efforts at drone defense.[2] [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sinking_of_the_Moskva https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sinking_of_the_Moskva [2] https://www.forbes.com/sites/vikrammittal/2025/01/24/russia-strengthens-air-defenses-amid-rising-ukrainian-strikes/ https://www.forbes.com/sites/vikrammittal/2025/01/24/russia-...
- trhway 2y agoUkraine is currently manages on some days to send 100-200 drones into several regions in Russia. The drones are slow and small, like with 50kg warheads. Most of these drones are shot down (on various video it seems usually by smaller missiles, like Pantsir's), though a few usually do hit their targets. I think Ukraine is, while slowly, still progressively going along the direction and would come to the strategy similar like what i suggested https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42529638 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42529638