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> We’re not becoming 10x developers with AI. Of course not. The ultimate goal of AI is to get rid of the developers altogether and reduce costs (more profits!)
by insane_dreamer 2y ago
> We’re not becoming 10x developers with AI.
Of course not. The ultimate goal of AI is to get rid of the developers altogether and reduce costs (more profits!). You think BigTech are spending hundreds of billions just to make developers more productive while retaining them? That's not a profitable strategy.
The copy/paste with LLM interactive stage is just a transitional stage as the LLM improves. We'll be past that in 5 years time.
No, AIs won't replace all developers -- you still need people doing the systems designs that the AI can implement code for. But it could easily reduce their numbers by some large percentage (50%? 80%?).
Edit: I would no longer advise my kids to get a degree in Computer Science.
- philomath_mn 2y ago> you still need people doing the systems designs that the AI can implement code for Given the rate of improvement up to that point, how much longer do you think this would be the case?
- insane_dreamer 2y agoI think that will get chipped away at incrementally, but you're right, eventually all you'll need is a list of requirements. I'd put that 30-50 years away, but some people might say sooner.
- tommy_axle 2y agoFor using requirements, much sooner. See Genatron.