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The robots as most people might expect will not take over. The robots will be the software that will slowly start to replace knowledge workers or anyone who wo
by samiv 2y ago
The robots as most people might expect will not take over.
The robots will be the software that will slowly start to replace knowledge workers or anyone who works with a computer.
If you conduct your work on a computer someone is already planning to replace you with software. Think about that for a second.
Incidentally also the knowledge workers are typically the higher income classes in a society. When their jobs start getting cut across the board where will they go?
Releasing workers that used to work with computers in offices with no replacement jobs has only one direction and that is to re-train as a skilled worker such carpenter, plumber etc. (Nothing wrong with those jobs), but all that motion and extra surplus of blue collar workers is going to drive down the wages. Also who will be able to pay these workers a living wage? Bezos and Musk and the few other winners of this game called "capitalism"? In this world the humans will become the "robots" at low cost and will essentially be replaceable and only exist to serve those few with still wealth to go around.
I honestly believe in the future we really need to rethink the whole structure of the society (basic income) or else the economy is going to displace a lot of people to the fringes of the society working 3-jobs and living out of a car. (Or just downright slums/streets). And when that happens to enough people and there's a critical mass of people with "nothing to lose" revolutions will start.
The late Marshall Brain had written a short story "Manna" that is very prescient and outlines a few possible alternative futures for the man kind. Unfortunately personally I'm not very optimistic about a "good" outcome.
- ipdashc 2y ago> short story "Manna" that is very prescient and outlines a few possible alternative futures for the man kind. Unfortunately personally I'm not very optimistic about a "good" outcome. Yeah, it's a good story and pretty thought-provoking, but it's kind of hilarious how quickly the quality nosedives once it switches to the "good" scenario. IMO you can tell he believed in the "bad" one a lot more and it feels like the good one was just shoehorned in to supply an optimistic option. Which is a bit scary...
- blagie 2y agoWe seem to have no mechanisms to "rethink." Market dynamics + personal ambitions are driving change. At the same time, we have no means of popular revolution. Drones are automating war, and LLMs can monitor literally all conversations. Bottom-up revolution is futile. To the contrary, it's likely whomever produces the best drones could pull of a corporate revolution. Market dynamics here centralize power and lead to a natural monopoly. That's perhaps better than competition, since competition pushes for moving fast, which means safety goes by the wayside. Carpenters and plumbers will be obsoleted by robots too. Robot AI is maybe 5-10 years behind LLMs. OpenAI was supposed to be the driving force behind fixing this, but it sold out, and is now building Skynet instead of preventing it.