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This is a good place to start for sure. There is a DOE equivalent here: https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/electricity_generation.pdf https://www.eia.gov/outl
by singhrac 2y ago
This is a good place to start for sure. There is a DOE equivalent here: https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/electricity_generation.pdf https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/electricity_generation.... .
One simple issue with LCOE estimates is that their revenues are not all equal. For example, rooftop residential solar seems very expensive (no economies of scale) but since residential electricity rates are high and you don't have to pay (as much) for transmission, they can be very financially viable, at least recently. Solar PV + storage looks more expensive, but that's because it shifts the supply to more valuable times (i.e. cuts the duck curve). Gas is more valuable than it seems because it is reliable on rainy days.
In my estimation the fact that wind and solar are often anticorrelated makes onshore wind basically financially viable without subsidies in some places (I think $27/MWh is basically viable).