I don't think they actually are. I think that this is instead actually a convenient story that people in the community tell themselves and others because it mak

I don't think they actually are. I think that this is instead actually a convenient story that people in the community tell themselves and others because it makes people feel smart. Going Infinite is a clear example of being fooled by this. SBF says he is actings on all of this bayesian probability stuff and Michael Lewis falls for it, concluding that SBF is actually thinking more clearly and rationally than the rest of us when actually SBF is just a flake and goes back on his commitments because he doesn't really care.