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Limiting US GPU exports to unaligned countries is completely counterproductive as it creates a market in those countries for Chinese GPUs, accelerating their de
by logicchains 2y ago
Limiting US GPU exports to unaligned countries is completely counterproductive as it creates a market in those countries for Chinese GPUs, accelerating their development even faster. Because a mediocre Huawei GPU is better than no GPU. And it harms the revenue of US-aligned GPU companies, slowing their development.
- dr_dshiv 2y agoInteresting theory. Any evidence that this is how the world really works? (And, is there a catchy name for the phenomenon?)
- jampekka 2y agoImport substitution. Before the free trade ideology it was quite a popular and (usually) deliberate method for industrialisation and technological progress. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Import_substitution_industrialization https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Import_substitution_industri...
- tartoran 2y agoBut also no external competition causes no pressure to improve.
- dr_dshiv 2y agoThat’s why the Huawei story seems different. I think it’s about this attempt to block that actually makes the opponent stronger. The export restrictions were designed to weaken their competitiveness not enhance! The restrictions blocked asml and Samsung and others from trading with China. Now China can just replace them. It seems.
- jampekka 2y agoSeemed to work for the space and arms races for example.